NASCAR at Bristol odds, predictions, start time: Model makes surprising picks for 2024 Food City 500, standings
After three seasons of driving on the dirt for a unique event on the NASCAR calendar, the 2024 Food City 500 will return to the concrete of Bristol Motor Speedway on Sunday. NASCAR ended its dirt experiment after rather harsh criticism from drivers and fans and now the steeply banked 0.533 mile concrete oval will host the NASCAR Cup Series twice as it did from 1961 to 2020. The green flag is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. pm ET and the race is expected to last 500 laps.
Joe Gibbs Racing teammates Denny Hamlin and Christopher Bell are 5-1 co-favorites in the 2024 NASCAR race against Bristol. Meanwhile, Kyle Larson is priced at 21-4 in his Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet, while reigning NASCAR Cup Series champion Ryan Blaney is 11-1 in the 2024 Food City 400 odds. To browse the 2024 Food City 500 starting lineup and make predictions for NASCAR at Bristol 2024, be sure to see the latest 2024 Food City 500 picks from SportsLine’s proven projection model.
Developed by Daily Fantasy Pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors like track history and recent results.
McClure’s model was red hot in 2023, winning Martin Truex Jr.’s Clash (20-1) as well as winning New Hampshire (11-2), winning Joey Logano’s Duel (8-1) , the Fontana by Kyle Busch. victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin’s triumph at Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson’s victories at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). The model also correctly predicted the winners in two of the playoff races, with Ryan Blaney scoring a 12-1 win at Talladega and Larson winning 9-2 at Las Vegas.
Then he called his first winner of the 2024 season again with Larson in Las Vegas two weeks ago, scoring a 21-5 win for SportsLine subscribers. He also impressively claimed five of Larson’s wins during his historic season in 2021. In total, the model has scored 16 winners since 2021, including nine last year alone. Anyone who has followed his lead on these NASCAR picks has seen huge returns.
Now the model simulates the 2024 Food City 500 10,000 times. Visit SportsLine to see the full projected standings from NASCAR at Bristol.
Best Food City 500 2024 Predictions
For the 2024 Food City 500, the model is high on Kyle Busch, even though he is 15-1 away in the latest 2024 NASCAR at Bristol odds. He is a target for anyone looking for a big payday. With eight wins all-time at Bristol Motor Speedway, Busch ranks fifth in NASCAR history at the prestigious venue behind only Darrell Waltrip (12), Dale Earnhardt, Rusty Wallace and Cale Yarborough (all with nine).
The two-time NASCAR Cup Series champion has now accumulated 63 victories in his Cup career, while adding 102 in the Xfinity Series and 65 in the Craftsman Truck Series. Twenty-two of those victories came at Bristol Motor Speedway. Busch won three times in his first season with Richard Childress Racing and has led at least 10 laps in three of four races this season, so it seems like a matter of time before he gets back to winning ways.
Another major shock: Christopher Bell, one of the big Vegas favorites, stumbles badly and barely makes the top five. There are much better values in the starting lineup for the 2024 Food City 500. Bell was a winner at Bristol Motor Speedway on dirt last spring and only one of his seven career NASCAR Cup Series victories came on a short track.
Bell has led 330 laps in the last two concrete races at Bristol, but has failed to take the checkered flag each time and the model does not see Bell’s value as a betting favorite. Even with Joe Gibbs Racing’s historic success at Bristol, the Fords have won three of the last five races there on concrete. Find out which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR standings at SportsLine.
How to make 2024 NASCAR choices at Bristol
The model also targets two other drivers with 2024 NASCAR Bristol odds of 15-1 or higher to make a serious run to the checkered flag. Anyone who supports these drivers could win big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks at SportsLine.
So, who wins the 2024 Food City 500, and which long shots are unmissable? Check out the latest NASCAR at Bristol 2024 odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected NASCAR at Bristol 2024 standings, all from the model that has 16 winners.
Food City 500 2024 odds, drivers, lineup
See the full NASCAR picks at Bristol on SportsLine
Denny Hamlin 5-1
Christophe Bell 5-1
Kyle Larson 21-4
Ryan Blaney 11-1
Brad Keselowski 12-1
William Byron 12-1
Tyler Reddick 12-1
Chris Buescher 12-1
Ty Gibbs 12-1
Kyle Busch 15-1
Ross Chastain 20-1
Joey Logano 20-1
Chase Elliott 20-1
Martin Truex Jr. 22-1
Erik Jones 40-1
Bubba Wallace 40-1
Alex Bowman 45-1
Michael McDowell 50-1
Chase Briscoe 60-1
Noah Gragson 60-1
Carson Hocevar 70-1
Daniel Suarez 80-1
Josh Berry 100-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 100-1
Austin Dillon 150-1
John Hunter Nemechek 175-1
AJ Allmendinger 200-1
Austin Cindric 200-1
Corey Lajoie 200-1
Ryan Preece 250-1
Todd Gilliland 500-1
Daniel Hemric 750-1
Zane Smith 1000-1
Justin Haley 1000-1
Harrison Burton 1000-1
Kaz Grala 2500-1
